Since the selloff has scared some market participants who
may be looking for positions to lighten up on, or to short, I thought I would focus more on the weak
sectors mentioned above and include charts of both below. As you can see both sector ETFs are trading
below all 3 of their daily major moving averages (50, 100, & 200) with the
200day being the lowest and currently the most important inflection point. Granted, they are short term oversold and
close to a possible countertrend bounce, but expect that bounce to be met by
the same sellers that drove them down after breaking below the 50day moving
averages. When that bounce happens, these will be prime sectors to look for
selling opportunities...such as those mentioned recently like SLB and OXY, as
well as others that bounce on below average volume. Long sellers and short
sellers will also emerge in these sectors if they make a lower low on above
average volume. That price action will likely cause further selling pressure down
to their next area of support which is near $65 XLE and near $50 XOP.
Have a great weekend!
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