Monday, April 16, 2012

GOLD - taking a look

GOLD has been in somewhat of a funk this year. After opening 2012 near $1565 and running to nearly $1800 in late February, the yellow metal has continued to fall back below its 200day moving average and near todays price of $1650. The 200day moving average seems to be THE area of most importance so the longer it remains below the 200day the more likely it is to fall. [Note: Despite the global printing of money and the likely long term investment thesis behind a continued bull market in gold, this is how it looks currently.]

As for now GOLD is trapped in a narrow range of trading...lets call it $1700 on the upside and $1600-$1610 on the downside. Any breach of either of those levels will cause an additional move of approximately $100 in the same direction. One way to play such a move (if you are not playing gold futures or GLD) would be the major miners GDX or the juniors GDXJ...something I will explore more in the future.

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